{"product_id":"science-of-conjecture-evidence-and-probability-before-pascal-paperback","title":"Science of Conjecture: Evidence and Probability Before Pascal - Paperback","description":"\u003cdiv\u003e\u003cp style=\"text-align: right;\"\u003e\u003ca href=\"https:\/\/reportcopyrightinfringement.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow\"\u003e\u003cb\u003eReport copyright infringement\u003c\/b\u003e\u003c\/a\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e\u003c\/div\u003e\u003cp\u003eby \u003cb\u003eJames Franklin\u003c\/b\u003e (Author)\u003c\/p\u003e\u003cp\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e\u003cp\u003eHow did we make reliable predictions before Pascal and Fermat's discovery of the mathematics of probability in 1654? What methods in law, science, commerce, philosophy, and logic helped us to get at the truth in cases where certainty was not attainable? In \u003ci\u003eThe Science of Conjecture\u003c\/i\u003e, James Franklin examines how judges, witch inquisitors, and juries evaluated evidence; how scientists weighed reasons for and against scientific theories; and how merchants counted shipwrecks to determine insurance rates.\u003c\/p\u003e\u003cp\u003e \u003ci\u003eThe Science of Conjecture\u003c\/i\u003e provides a history of rational methods of dealing with uncertainty and explores the coming to consciousness of the human understanding of risk.\u003c\/p\u003e\u003ch3\u003eFront Jacket\u003c\/h3\u003e\u003cp\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e\u003cp\u003eHow did we make reliable predictions before Pascal and Fermat's discovery of the mathematics of probability in 1654? What methods in law, science, commerce, philosophy, and logic helped us to get at the truth in cases where certainty was not attainable? In \u003ci\u003eThe Science of Conjecture\u003c\/i\u003e, James Franklin examines how judges, witch inquisitors, and juries evaluated evidence; how scientists weighed reasons for and against scientific theories; and how merchants counted shipwrecks to determine insurance rates.\u003c\/p\u003e\u003cp\u003e \u003ci\u003eThe Science of Conjecture\u003c\/i\u003e provides a history of rational methods of dealing with uncertainty and explores the coming to consciousness of the human understanding of risk.\u003c\/p\u003e\u003cp\u003eA remarkable book. Mr. Franklin writes clearly and exhibits a wry wit. But he also ranges knowledgeably across many disciplines and over many centuries.--\u003ci\u003eWall Street Journal\u003c\/i\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e\u003cp\u003e\u003ci\u003eThe Science of Conjecture\u003c\/i\u003e opens an old chest of human attempts to draw order from havoc and wipes clean the rust from some cast-off classical tools that can now be reused to help build a framework for the unpredictable future.--\u003ci\u003eScience\u003c\/i\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e\u003cp\u003eFranklin's style is clear and fluent, with an occasional sly Gibbonian aside to make the reader chuckle.--\u003ci\u003eNew Criterion\u003c\/i\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e\u003cp\u003e \u003cb\u003eJames Franklin\u003c\/b\u003e is a professor in the School of Mathematics and Statistics at the University of New South Wales.\u003c\/p\u003e--Stephen Stigler, University of Chicago, author of \u003ci\u003eThe History of Statistics: The Measurement of Uncertainty before 1900\u003c\/i\u003e \"Wall Street Journal\"\u003ch3\u003eBack Jacket\u003c\/h3\u003e\u003cp\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e\u003cp\u003eHow did we make reliable predictions before Pascal and Fermat's discovery of the mathematics of probability in 1654? What methods in law, science, commerce, philosophy, and logic helped us to get at the truth in cases where certainty was not attainable? In \u003ci\u003eThe Science of Conjecture\u003c\/i\u003e, James Franklin examines how judges, witch inquisitors, and juries evaluated evidence; how scientists weighed reasons for and against scientific theories; and how merchants counted shipwrecks to determine insurance rates.\u003c\/p\u003e\u003cp\u003e \u003ci\u003eThe Science of Conjecture\u003c\/i\u003e provides a history of rational methods of dealing with uncertainty and explores the coming to consciousness of the human understanding of risk.\u003c\/p\u003e\u003cp\u003e\"A remarkable book. Mr. Franklin writes clearly and exhibits a wry wit. But he also ranges knowledgeably across many disciplines and over many centuries.\"--\u003ci\u003eWall Street Journal\u003c\/i\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e\u003cp\u003e\"\u003ci\u003eThe Science of Conjecture\u003c\/i\u003e opens an old chest of human attempts to draw order from havoc and wipes clean the rust from some cast-off classical tools that can now be reused to help build a framework for the unpredictable future.\"--\u003ci\u003eScience\u003c\/i\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e\u003cp\u003e\"Franklin's style is clear and fluent, with an occasional sly Gibbonian aside to make the reader chuckle.\"--\u003ci\u003eNew Criterion\u003c\/i\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e\u003cp\u003e \u003cb\u003eJames Franklin\u003c\/b\u003e is a professor in the School of Mathematics and Statistics at the University of New South Wales.\u003c\/p\u003e\u003ch3\u003eAuthor Biography\u003c\/h3\u003e\u003cp\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e\u003cp\u003e \u003cb\u003eJames Franklin\u003c\/b\u003e is a professor in the School of Mathematics and Statistics at the University of New South Wales.\u003c\/p\u003e\n            \u003cdiv\u003e\n\u003cstrong\u003eNumber of Pages:\u003c\/strong\u003e 520\u003c\/div\u003e\n            \u003cdiv\u003e\n\u003cstrong\u003eDimensions:\u003c\/strong\u003e 1.16 x 9.21 x 6.14 IN\u003c\/div\u003e\n            \u003cdiv\u003e\n\u003cstrong\u003ePublication Date:\u003c\/strong\u003e May 11, 2015\u003c\/div\u003e\n            ","brand":"BooksCloud","offers":[{"title":"Default Title","offer_id":47336864219385,"sku":"9781421418803","price":73.44,"currency_code":"USD","in_stock":true}],"thumbnail_url":"\/\/cdn.shopify.com\/s\/files\/1\/0789\/2782\/3097\/files\/M2s4ekJSck1JcTBkVUpJY3phRnV4QT09.webp?v=1769671424","url":"https:\/\/bookscloud.io\/products\/science-of-conjecture-evidence-and-probability-before-pascal-paperback","provider":"BooksCloud Book Dropshipping","version":"1.0","type":"link"}